Surprisingly Strong Jobs Report May Affect Mortgage Rates

Jobs Report In FocusLast week’s jobs report — a combination of the Department of Labor’s Non-farm Payrolls Report and Unemployment Rate — provided investors and job seekers with unexpected good news.

Job growth for February handily exceeded most economists expectations of 160,000 by adding 236,000 new jobs.

According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, employment increased in business and professional services, construction and healthcare:

  • Business and professional services added 73,000 jobs
  • Construction added 48,000 jobs. Of these, 17,000 jobs were for residential construction.
  • Healthcare added 32,000 jobs

Since September, construction employment has risen by 151,000. This increase in construction jobs may point to a strengthening in the home building sector.

Stronger home building numbers may lead to increasing home prices for sellers and property appreciation for home owners.

Strong Jobs Numbers Help Stock Market Rally, May Spur Higher Mortgage Rates

Retail has added 252,000 jobs over the past year. Hiring in retail suggests that consumers are spending more, which is a strong indicator of economic growth.

These figures demonstrate a trend toward economic recovery and added a last-minute boost to last week’s stock market rally.

Rising stocks generally cause bond prices including MBS to fall and mortgage rates to rise.

The seasonally adjusted employee participation rate declined by 0.40 percent year over year; in February 2012, the seasonally adjusted was participation rate was 63.9 percent; in February 2012, the participation rate was 63.5 percent.

The Unemployment Rate for February came in at 7.7 percent; this was lower than Investor expectations of 7.8 percent and January’s unemployment rate of 7.9 percent.

The seasonally adjusted unemployment rate has decreased by.60 percent from 8.3 percent in February 2012.

Unemployment Rate Lowest Since December 2008

Long-term unemployment of 27 weeks or more accounted for 40.2 percent of February’s unemployed.

8 million workers are employed part time due to scheduling cutbacks or because they could not find full time work.

The Fed has bench-marked an unemployment rate of 6.5 percent as a sign of sufficient economic recovery that could allow the Fed to curtail its monetary easing program.

Given this perspective, the Unemployment Rate remains high, but appears to be declining gradually.

Economic indicators and recently climbing interest rates suggest that mortgage borrowers may want to lock in their best mortgage rates now.

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Buying ( Or leasing.) A Home In A Golf Community

Golf course communitiesIt’s January, but home sales in golf communities remain strong throughout Orange County, California.

If you’re looking to buy a home in a golf course community, either as a primary residence or as a vacation or retirement home, there are additional home traits which make buying on a golf course different from buying a typical South Orange County single-family residence.

Here is a quick primer of home characteristics to consider when buying in a golf community.

Land Plot 
When looking at homes within a golf course community, be aware of its location with respect to the community entrance. Homes nearest to the entrance will receive the most drive-by traffic and may be slightly more noisy that a home which is situated far from the entrance. However, homes close to the entrance will also be more navigable for visitors.

Security
How security-conscious is the community? Golf course communities tend to be gated communities but each will have varying levels of security. Some will have 24-hour gatepersons to manage and monitor traffic into the community. Others will use a pass-key system. Determine what’s most important to you.

Proximity To Golf Course
Consider the physical location of the home relative to the golf course(s). Homes which are situated near tee boxes are less likely to be struck by errant golf shots, but may be louder because of chatty players. Homes off the golf course are typically free of all such hazard.

Amenities
Many golf communities feature amenities such as swimming pools, exercise facilities, and clubhouses. Some have tennis courts and other recreational outlets. Do these services require extra fees? Is there a mandatory membership cost, with minimum monthly purchase levels? Be sure to ask.

 

Association Dues And Restrictions
As with most planned community/association, golf communities typically require annual or monthly membership dues; and publish a list of rules by which homeowners must abide. For example, home improvements may be restricted by the rules of the community. Before buying, review the association by-laws carefully.

Golf course communities are a terrific way for golf enthusiasts play (nearly) year-round, and can provide a terrific lifestyle even beyond the golf game. If you plan to buy in a golf community, use the tips above to help with your research.

Then, when you’re ready, talk to an experienced local Realtor for help with your purchase. In South Orange County, in Southern California, I’ve been selling golf course properties for over 36 years.

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B of A to Offer Principal Writedowns to 200,000 Delinquent Borrowers

From this morning’s DSNews.com, written by Carrie Bay:

Bank of America began mailing out more than 200,000 letters this week targeting borrowers thought to be eligible for principal-reducing modifications under terms of the recent settlement the company and four other servicers reached with the federal government and 49 state attorneys general.

To be eligible, a homeowner must owe more on the mortgage than the property is worth today and must have been at least 60 days behind on payments on January 31, 2012.

In addition, the homeowner’s monthly housing costs must be more than 25 percent of gross household income, and the loan must be owned and serviced by Bank of America or serviced for another investor that has authorized the bank to grant principal writedowns.

Officials at Bank of America estimate average monthly savings of 30 percent for customers who qualify for the program.

The North Carolina-based lender said Tuesday that it has already extended about 5,000 trial modification offers involving principal reductions since March, with a potential total of more than $700 million in forgiven mortgage debt. Homeowners are required to make at least three timely trial payments before the modification can be made permanent.

“Building on home retention and payment assistance programs already in place, we are meeting our obligation to deliver this additional relief to our customers following the completion of the recent global mortgage settlement,” said Ron Sturzenegger, Bank of America’s executive over legacy asset servicing.

“To the extent principal reduction and other modification tools help us turn mortgages headed for possible foreclosure into long-term performing loans, it will be positive for homeowners, mortgage investors, and communities,” Sturzenegger added.

The first letters of Bank of America’s mail blitz should start landing in mailboxes this week with the majority of the 200,000-plus identified candidates receiving notice by the third quarter of this year.

Bank of America has committed to slashing $11 billion in mortgage debt for struggling homeowners as part of the settlement agreement reached. But with BofA expecting an average principal reduction of $150,000 for each borrower, crude estimates put the tab potentially as high as $28 billion to $30 billion if a large majority of those targeted respond to the company’s outreach efforts and satisfy the qualifying criteria.” ( End of article.)

If YOU are having difficulty making the payments on a Bank of America mortgage, it would be prudent to open any mail you receive from them – it just might be good news – especially if you’re hoping to stay in your home.

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Mortgage Delinquency Rate to Fall 20 Percent in 2011?

Mortgage delinquency rate to fall 20 percent in 2011

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More good news for the new year.

The mortgage delinquency rate (the ratio of borrowers 60 or more days behind on mortgage payments) is expected to fall nearly 20 percent by the end of 2011 to 4.98 percent, according to TransUnion.

At the end of 2010, the mortgage delinquency rate is expected to be 6.21 percent.

The credit reporting bureau said the anticipated drop is more than double the 9.87 percent annual decline expected between the end of 2009 and 2010.

Between 2006 and 2009, there were three consecutive year-over-year increases of 54 percent, 53 percent, 50 percent, respectively.

“We believe the nation will experience an improvement in mortgage delinquencies during 2011,” said Steve Chaouki, group vice president in TransUnion’s financial services business unit, in a press release.

“This will be driven by a slowly improving unemployment picture and continued stabilization in housing prices. While there is continued price pressure in many markets, we expect a growing number of areas of the country to experience a rise in property values along with some stabilization of values in those states and markets hardest hit by the recession.”

Interestingly, the hardest hit states will experience the greatest turnaround, perhaps because things are so bad there currently and can’t get any worse.

Mortgage delinquencies are slated to fall 24.77 percent in Nevada, 24.27 percent in Arizona and 23.90 percent in Florida next year.

Hooray 2011!

From: http://www.thetruthaboutmortgage.com

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Industry Completes 1.5M+ Loan Mods in 1st 10 Months of 2010

New data from HOPE NOW shows that the industry completed more than 1.5 million loan modifications for at-risk homeowners from January through October of this year. That translates to an average of 154,000 homeowners per month who have been able to remain in their homes with an affordable loan modification solution.

It’s a notable accomplishment, but the report makes it clear that there’s far more work to be done. HOPE NOWsays there are currently 3.4 million homeowners 60 or more days behind on their mortgage payments.

The reported data for October shows mortgage servicers completed approximately 101,000 proprietary loan modifications for homeowners and 24,000 Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP) modifications during the month, for an estimated total of 125,000.

Of particular note in October’s data is the effect foreclosure delays and the temporary freezes initiated by some servicers due to the robo-signing scandal had on the delinquency and foreclosure numbers for the month.

Specifically foreclosure starts and sales dropped to 205,000 and 69,000, respectively. That’s down from 245,000 foreclosure starts and 118,000 foreclosure sales the month prior.

“There were anomalies in the October data that affected 60 day plus delinquency, as well as foreclosure, metrics which we believe may be largely attributed to widespread foreclosure delays across the country,” said Faith Schwartz, senior adviser for HOPE NOW.

“Despite these irregularities the mortgage industry’s efforts to keep homeowners in their homes and offer viable mortgage solutions continues to show strong results each month. Far more homeowners are receiving workout solutions — including loan modifications — than are going to foreclosure sale each month,” Schwartz said.

By Carrie Bay, from DSNews.com 12/7/2010

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Rent A Home Or Buy A Home : The Case For Both Sides

Is it better to rent a Coto de Caza home, or to buy one? The answer may not be as clear-cut as you think. In this balanced, 3-minute joint interview from NBC’s The Today Show, you’ll hear the case for both sides.

From the pro-renting part of the talk, there’s valid points about the economic impact of low credit scores and/or no cash for downpayment, and the ongoing, annual cost of home maintenance — estimated at 2% of a home’s value.  Plus, renters have the ability to “follow a job” to a new town or region whereas a homeowner may be restricted, somewhat.

From the pro-purchase part, however, there’s excellent points that were made, too:

  • Mortgage rates are low and each 1% drop to rates equates to a 9% drop to home price
  • Buyers can zero in on a particular area with particular schools or walkability, for example, better than renters
  • A home can a piggybank over the long-term; a place for “forced savings” for families that want it

The segment then closes with 5 of the best cities in which to rent, and 5 of the best cities in which to buy.

Whether buying or renting, don’t try to go at it alone. There’s lot of resources online, and an email to a local real estate or mortgage pro can set you in the right direction.

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Fewer California mortgages are in default

NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) — Fewer mortgage borrowers are delinquent on their loan payments, according to the latest data from the Mortgage Bankers Association.

The nation’s overall delinquency rate dropped to 9.85% in the second quarter, down from 10.06% of all loans outstanding three months earlier.

Even better, the percentage of seriously delinquent loans — ones 90+ days late or already repossessed by lenders — dropped to 9.11% from 9.54% in the first quarter.

The drop in loans 90 days or more late was the biggest the MBA has ever recorded, according to the MBA’s chief economist, Jay Brinkmann. “That shows we’re making headway,” he said.

He cited three reasons for the improvement:

  • Fewer loans are coming into the default process;
  • The homebuyers tax credit, which increased demand for homes, generated many pre-foreclosure sales, removing the attached delinquent loans from the statistics;
  • The government- and lender-led mortgage modifications “cured” some payment problems.

However, even with those bright spots, there was one troubling finding: First-time delinquencies increased after four quarters of decline. It inched up to 3.51% in the second quarter from 3.45% in the first quarter. According to Brinkmann, the reversal reflects the weakness in both the housing market and the overall economy.

“It’s a question of jobs,” he said. “It takes a paycheck to make a mortgage payment.”

Underscoring the trend is the foreclosure trend among borrowers with conventional loans, like 30-year, fixed rate mortgages. They accounted for nearly 36% of foreclosure starts during the quarter. And these safe loans rarely get into trouble unless they lose employment or income.

The four worst hit states — California, Florida, Arizona and Nevada — still account for nearly 60% of national delinquencies, but California’s numbers dropped dramatically this year. At the end of 2009, California foreclosure starts made up nearly 20% of the nation’s total. That dropped to 14.7% during the second quarter.

Another positive trend is the gradual downturn in the number of borrowers who are underwater on their mortgages, owing more than their homes are worth. 

CoreLogic reported today that the rate of borrowers underwater dropped to 23% in the second quarter from 24% in the first.

When borrowers fall underwater, it increases the chance that they’ll lose the homes. Brinkmann calls it one of the two “triggers” that lead to foreclosure.

If homeowners have positive equity, they can use it as a source of cash to pay bills, including mortgages. But if their cash reserves are gone and they can’t afford to make payments because their income has dropped, foreclosure is almost inevitable.

CoreLogic found that negative equity is worst in five states: Nevada (68%), Arizona (50%), Florida (46%), Michigan (38%) and California (33%).

By Les Christie, staff writer, CNNMoney.com

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New Bank of America Short Sale Test Program

Bank of America is launching a new cooperative short sale program that will target 2,000 pre-screened homeowners, said Matt Vernon, the REO and short sale executive at B of A. 

In an exclusive interview with REO Insider, Vernon said the bank pre-screened these borrowers who have been considered for a modification under the Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP) and a short sale under the Home Affordable Foreclosure Alternatives (HAFA) program. They have either fallen out of both programs or failed to qualify. 

“The big question we’re looking to answer is customer responsiveness,” Vernon said. “These are not customers who are seeking short sales but rather distressed customers who are on the road to foreclosure, and we want to provide them an alternative. Our goal is to provide a tailored program with incentives that are attractive to homeowners experiencing a true hardship.” 

Under this “test umbrella” for future programs, no new documents are needed from the seller since they already submitted their financial information to the bank. B of A is waiving deficiencies, or the difference between what the home sells for and how much is left on the mortgage. Vernon said his department will assign a short sale specialist to work with the real estate agent and the homeowner to market the property for 120 days. 

Letters have already gone out to the homeowners, and they have 120 days to list the property. Vernon said they are looking at a six month program. The bank will be working with the homeowners’ real estate agents, meaning the bank will not be selecting agents to work with the homeowners. 

Once sold, the former homeowner receives a $3,000 relocation fee, and the real estate agent gets a 6% commission. If it doesn’t sell, B of A will accept a deed-in-lieu of foreclosure in order to satisfy the mortgage. 

Vernon said the homeowners targeted are heavily concentrated in the sand states, California, Florida, Nevada and Arizona. 

“It’s a small test of customers who have been pre-screened,” Vernon said. “We’ve also worked with an investor to get their approval in the program before hand. This allows us to test and learn. Our hope and desire of this is that this pilot and others will help us design expansion of these programs in the future.” 

That investor held a stake in the original mortgage that is now in default. Lenders need approval from these investors for a short a sale to go through. It has been one of the major hurdles in the short sale process. 

The industry is beginning to recognize short sales as a serious alternative to foreclosure. According to the real estate data and service provider Core Logic, short sales in the US have tripled since 2008. Freddie Mac recently reported that its short sale figures were up 600% from two years ago and said in its Q210 financial statement that it completed 22,117 short sales in the first half of 2010, up nearly 180% from 7,914 in the first half of 2009. 

In Q210, B of A completed more than 25,000 short sales, almost three times the amount done in the same quarter last year. Roughly 90% of the short sales are performed on the Equator platform, and Vernon said by the end of the year, the entire short sale business will be. 

“Bank of America is committed to constantly improving the short sale process for our customers and our real estate business partners,” Vernon said. “We continue to test new ways of completing short sales to provide customers with a dignified exit and help avoid foreclosure.”

If you are approached by Bank of America for this program, please know that I have a long-term, successful relationship with them, in both distressed and non-distressed properties.  I am thoroughly qualified to be your chosen local Realtor, for this program.

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B of A starts a loan mod center in Orange County

Loan Modification Help From Bank of America

As the economy continues to falter and the unemployment rate remains high many homeowners continue to struggle with their house payments. There are government mandates on banks to assist borrowers whenever possible. One such mandate is for banks to offer loan modifications allowing homeowners to remain in their homes and to help them avoid a short sale or foreclosure. 

Unfortunately, getting a loan modification can be a very time consuming and an arduous task for many homeowners seeking help. Massive delays, lost paperwork and redundant efforts can cause homeowners to give up and not succeed with their modification. However, for Bank of America customers in Southern California, there is now a better process in place. 

Bank of America has established a modification department in Brea, California. Any borrower whose loan is with Bank of America can now call in and have someone answer the phone, listen to their issues and instruct them as to the process in order to proceed to receive a modification. The borrower is instructed as to what documentation is needed and an appointment is set to meet face-to-face with a Bank of America representative within one week. The results have been extremely helpful. 

If you know of such an individual who needs help please instruct them to have their loan number ready when placing the call. The homeowner is the only person who may place the call. Please make a note of this phone number and feel free to furnish it to anyone who needs help. 714-987-5050.

Let me know if you need more information -  Call me at 949-643-2100, or shoot me an email at Bob@BobPhillips.net    I hope this is helpful to someone.

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How Big Is The Foreclosure Market? It Depends On Where You Live, Of Course.

Foreclosure concentration, by state (July 2010)Foreclosure filings rose 4 percent nationwide last month versus June, according to foreclosure-tracking firm RealtyTrac.com. For the 17th straight month, total filings topped 300,000.

A foreclosure filing is defined as default notice, scheduled auction, or bank repossession.

As with most months, just a handful of states dominated foreclosure activity nationwide.

  • California : 14.9 percent of all activity
  • Florida : 11.6 percent of all activity
  • Arizona : 6.4 percent of all activity
  • Michigan : 6.2 percent of all activity
  • Georgia : 6.1 percent of all activity
  • Texas : 4.9 percent of all activity

Together, these 6 states represent just 30 percent of the overall U.S. population.

The other 44 states (and Washington D.C.) were home to the remaining 49.0%.

Despite this imbalance, though, in all markets, foreclosures and REO are making a profound impact on pricing and product. “Distressed” homes now represent 32 percent of the overall resale market nationwide, according to the National Association of Realtors®.

Buying a foreclosed home can make for a terrific “deal”, but buying in the REO market is decidedly different from buying a non-foreclosed property.

As 3 examples:

  1. Buying bank-owned homes can take 120 days to close.
  2. Foreclosures aren’t always listed for sale publicly. Some inventory is privately-held.
  3. Bank-owned homes are often sold “as is”. There may be defects that render the homes mortgage-ineligible.

If you have an interest in buying REO, consider talking with a distressed properties experienced real estate agent first. Even the negotiation process is different as compared to a non-distressed sale. It helps to have an experienced professional representing your interests.  As a local Realtor with over 33 year’s experience, I would be a qualified choice.

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